Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.171973 0.203077 0.237881 0.279668 0.328435 0.383507 0.450378
2025-08-24 0.125954 0.165960 0.215513 0.281224 0.365888 0.471101 0.611574
2025-08-31 0.096343 0.137858 0.193350 0.272583 0.382403 0.528788 0.738205
2025-09-07 0.080400 0.123123 0.183902 0.276075 0.411614 0.602768 0.891792
2025-09-14 0.068030 0.110578 0.174505 0.276679 0.434834 0.669012 1.040332
2025-09-21 0.057454 0.098600 0.163563 0.272445 0.448950 0.721963 1.173650
2025-09-28 0.049611 0.089500 0.155408 0.270772 0.465814 0.779671 1.319251
2025-10-05 0.045892 0.086612 0.156708 0.284283 0.508237 0.881562 1.545667
2025-10-12 0.043338 0.085298 0.160325 0.301889 0.559165 1.002167 1.815259
2025-10-19 0.039775 0.081532 0.158986 0.310295 0.594588 1.099535 2.054421
2025-10-26 0.035620 0.075967 0.153530 0.310251 0.614353 1.170903 2.254092
2025-11-02 0.030944 0.068638 0.143702 0.300495 0.614520 1.206331 2.390979
2025-11-09 0.026129 0.060499 0.131632 0.285686 0.604999 1.226177 2.507907
2025-11-16 0.023452 0.056559 0.127620 0.286859 0.627747 1.310918 2.761146
2025-11-23 0.020313 0.051035 0.119431 0.278015 0.628606 1.352312 2.932450
2025-11-30 0.018549 0.048401 0.117132 0.281570 0.655981 1.450031 3.228841
2025-12-07 0.016796 0.045486 0.113759 0.282185 0.676873 1.536228 3.509932
2025-12-14 0.014953 0.042022 0.108587 0.277870 0.686013 1.598020 3.744704
2025-12-21 0.013487 0.039280 0.104746 0.276166 0.700884 1.673753 4.017953
2025-12-28 0.012980 0.039037 0.107070 0.289934 0.754161 1.841274 4.515851
2026-01-04 0.012689 0.039347 0.110852 0.307874 0.819702 2.043559 5.114291
2026-01-11 0.011979 0.038336 0.111017 0.316440 0.862831 2.197483 5.613982
2026-01-18 0.010978 0.036289 0.108094 0.316395 0.883935 2.300677 6.001949